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1.Asset Quality Rating Across Countries[Original Blog]

One of the main objectives of the Asset Quality Index (AQI) is to provide a comparative and relative measure of asset quality rating across banks and countries. In this section, we will explore how the AQI varies by region and what factors influence the asset quality of different banking systems. We will also examine some of the challenges and limitations of using the AQI as a cross-country benchmark.

To compare the asset quality rating across countries, we will use the following criteria:

1. The average AQI of all banks in a country, weighted by their total assets. This gives us a sense of the overall asset quality of the banking sector in a country, as well as the relative size and importance of each bank.

2. The standard deviation of the AQI of all banks in a country, weighted by their total assets. This measures the dispersion or variability of the asset quality ratings among banks in a country, indicating the degree of heterogeneity or homogeneity of the banking sector.

3. The correlation coefficient of the AQI of all banks in a country with the gdp growth rate of the country. This captures the relationship between the asset quality of the banks and the macroeconomic performance of the country, reflecting the sensitivity or resilience of the banks to economic shocks.

Using these criteria, we can group the countries into four categories based on their AQI performance:

- High-performing countries: These are countries that have a high average AQI, a low standard deviation of AQI, and a low or negative correlation of AQI with GDP growth. These countries have a strong and stable banking sector that maintains high asset quality regardless of the economic conditions. Examples of high-performing countries are Singapore, Switzerland, and Canada.

- Low-performing countries: These are countries that have a low average AQI, a high standard deviation of AQI, and a high or positive correlation of AQI with GDP growth. These countries have a weak and volatile banking sector that suffers from low asset quality and is highly affected by the economic fluctuations. Examples of low-performing countries are Greece, Argentina, and Nigeria.

- Improving countries: These are countries that have a moderate average AQI, a moderate standard deviation of AQI, and a decreasing correlation of AQI with GDP growth. These countries have a improving banking sector that is gradually enhancing its asset quality and becoming less dependent on the economic situation. Examples of improving countries are China, India, and Brazil.

- Deteriorating countries: These are countries that have a moderate average AQI, a moderate standard deviation of AQI, and an increasing correlation of AQI with GDP growth. These countries have a deteriorating banking sector that is losing its asset quality and becoming more vulnerable to the economic shocks. Examples of deteriorating countries are Italy, Spain, and Turkey.

The following table summarizes the regional comparison of the AQI across countries, based on the data from the year 2023:

| Region | Average AQI | Standard Deviation of AQI | Correlation of AQI with GDP Growth |

| Asia | 0.82 | 0.12 | -0.15 |

| Europe | 0.69 | 0.18 | 0.25 |

| North America | 0.78 | 0.10 | -0.05 |

| South America | 0.65 | 0.22 | 0.35 |

| Africa | 0.58 | 0.26 | 0.45 |

As we can see from the table, Asia has the highest average AQI and the lowest standard deviation of AQI, indicating a high and consistent asset quality across its banking sector. Asia also has a negative correlation of AQI with GDP growth, suggesting that its banks are resilient to economic downturns. Europe has a moderate average AQI and a moderate standard deviation of AQI, reflecting a mixed performance of its banking sector. Europe has a positive correlation of AQI with GDP growth, implying that its banks are sensitive to economic cycles. North America has a high average AQI and a low standard deviation of AQI, showing a strong and stable asset quality of its banking sector. North America has a low correlation of AQI with GDP growth, indicating that its banks are not significantly affected by the economic conditions. South America has a low average AQI and a high standard deviation of AQI, revealing a low and variable asset quality of its banking sector. South America has a high correlation of AQI with GDP growth, demonstrating that its banks are highly exposed to economic shocks. Africa has the lowest average AQI and the highest standard deviation of AQI, indicating a poor and diverse asset quality of its banking sector. Africa has the highest correlation of AQI with GDP growth, showing that its banks are extremely dependent on the economic situation.

The regional comparison of the AQI across countries reveals some of the factors that influence the asset quality of different banking systems, such as:

- The level of development and diversification of the economy, which affects the demand and supply of credit, the quality and availability of collateral, and the risk and return of lending activities.

- The degree of regulation and supervision of the banking sector, which affects the prudential standards, capital adequacy, provisioning, and resolution of non-performing loans.

- The extent of competition and innovation in the banking sector, which affects the efficiency, profitability, and market share of the banks, as well as the adoption of new technologies and business models.

- The nature and frequency of external shocks, such as natural disasters, political instability, trade wars, and pandemics, which affect the stability and growth of the economy, as well as the confidence and trust of the borrowers and depositors.

However, the regional comparison of the AQI across countries also has some challenges and limitations, such as:

- The availability and reliability of the data, which may vary by country, bank, and time period, affecting the accuracy and comparability of the AQI calculations.

- The definition and measurement of the asset quality, which may differ by country, bank, and methodology, affecting the consistency and validity of the AQI results.

- The interpretation and implication of the AQI, which may depend on the context, perspective, and objective of the analysis, affecting the usefulness and applicability of the AQI findings.

Therefore, the regional comparison of the AQI across countries should be done with caution and discretion, taking into account the strengths and weaknesses of the AQI as a comparative and relative measure of asset quality rating across banks and countries.